Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-23 2.013323 2.190220 2.378782 2.595277 2.837639 3.101350 3.411016
2025-11-30 1.785583 2.032616 2.311812 2.652827 3.060951 3.537290 4.140589
2025-12-07 1.601702 1.882337 2.212981 2.635426 3.166803 3.821174 4.700839
2025-12-14 1.460593 1.759631 2.123655 2.605784 3.237318 4.050486 5.200485
2025-12-21 1.321645 1.623370 2.000214 2.513839 3.209050 4.137650 5.507989
2025-12-28 1.246983 1.560106 1.960899 2.522527 3.307544 4.395077 6.070693
2026-01-04 1.191028 1.515370 1.939992 2.550553 3.430189 4.692055 6.719591
2026-01-11 1.143992 1.478100 1.924676 2.582389 3.557332 5.003247 7.423115
2026-01-18 1.100540 1.442058 1.907303 2.607889 3.674439 5.306934 8.148552
2026-01-25 1.055081 1.399903 1.877715 2.611800 3.756880 5.561452 8.820666
2026-02-01 0.996030 1.334971 1.811161 2.554835 3.738370 5.649416 9.210224
2026-02-08 0.947938 1.282967 1.759995 2.516974 3.745674 5.778092 9.685675
2026-02-15 0.909266 1.243382 1.725907 2.504788 3.796175 5.989100 10.353661
2026-02-22 0.892756 1.235369 1.738331 2.566483 3.974234 6.440471 11.558222
2026-03-01 0.858222 1.198555 1.704579 2.550850 4.018075 6.653460 12.310968
2026-03-08 0.823341 1.159446 1.664996 2.522580 4.036658 6.819966 12.988982
2026-03-15 0.777178 1.101056 1.592325 2.434380 3.941012 6.758601 13.154912
2026-03-22 0.755776 1.079875 1.577352 2.442722 4.020903 7.046309 14.158683
2026-03-29 0.739738 1.066224 1.573536 2.469617 4.136716 7.417220 15.423515
2026-04-05 0.725388 1.054501 1.572066 2.500164 4.261417 7.819472 16.841475
2026-04-12 0.710622 1.041394 1.567515 2.524628 4.375879 8.212348 18.313798
2026-04-19 0.692710 1.022420 1.552177 2.528381 4.449222 8.523265 19.629643
2026-04-26 0.664974 0.986405 1.506534 2.473727 4.400131 8.554251 20.167382